It is shown that the ability of the world civilization to overcome a singularity border (a system crisis) determines some important civilization's feature in an intensive post-singular phase of development.
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In terms of timing, the BAU2 scenario shows a steep decline to set in around 2040," she explained to the outlet.Post-singular evolution and post-singular civilizations To clear things up, Herrington told Motherboard that this predicted collapse "does not mean that humanity will cease to exist." However, it will destroy the way of life as we know it. "Economic and industrial growth will stop, and then decline, which will hurt food production and standards of living. Toward the year 2040, food production, population, industrial output and all other categories would take a steep decline while pollution skyrockets. However, instead of stagnation, the scenario foresees things would start to collapse. This scenario predicts that economic growth would begin to sputter very soon and hit a wall around 2030. Meanwhile, the business-as-usual scenario assumes that humans will not make any changes to their current behavior. Food production will also recover eventually. In this scenario, however, society does not collapse and humanity's bad habit of draining resources will come to an end with the development of new sustainable technologies. It notes several negative outcomes, including the short-term decline in food production and wild swings across various categories like industrial output.
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The Comprehensive Technology scenario predicts economic decline begins right now. These scenarios are the comprehensive technology (CT) and the business-as-usual (BAU2). The study found we are treading along in line with a couple of scenarios, neither of which is good. Moreover, she figured out the position the world is currently in, based on the model. As a result, Herrington was able to identify how close the scientists' prediction is to reality. The new study takes the model's predictions on these markers and compares them to the empirical data. The variables include fertility rates, population, mortality rates, industrial output, services, food production, persistent pollution, non-renewable resources, ecological footprint and human welfare. Scientists have warned that the pace of global warming is outstripping humanity's best plan to cut carbon emissions Photo: AFP / GREG BAKER Using ten variables, Herrington checked and analyzed the MIT model (MIT used a world simulation model to determine how this world would fare between 19) to see how accurately predictive it has been.
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The new research, authored by Gaya Herrington, the Sustainability and Dynamic System Analysis lead at the KPMG accounting firm, seemingly suggests there is still hope for society as long as we can change our ways. However, this will only happen if we continue the business-as-usual approach to overexploitation, overpopulation and resource extraction. New research published in the Yale Journal of Industrial Ecology evaluated how things have progressed since the initial report was published in 1972, Motherboard reported. The new study concluded that the world could indeed witness the collapse of society as early as 2040. While the report was heavily criticized at the time, new research reveals that the predictions have been eerily correct so far, forecasting that the collapse of society is on track to happen by 2040.